Disclaimer: iBIO is a nonpartisan organization and does not endorse any candidate for public office. This article is provided for informational purposes only to help our members understand potential policy implications of election outcomes.
As voters head to the polls today, the life sciences industry faces two distinctly different visions for healthcare policy under either a Trump or Harris administration. While campaign promises don’t always translate to policy, both candidates have outlined priorities that could significantly impact the healthcare and biotechnology sectors.
Trump’s Healthcare Vision A second Trump presidency would likely focus on reforming public health institutions and addressing chronic diseases. While moving away from his previous stance on ACA repeal, Trump has indicated he would seek to revise the healthcare law to provide “lower cost options.” His administration would likely pursue restructuring of key health agencies, with potential reforms to both the NIH and CDC.
Notably, Trump has pledged to establish a presidential commission investigating the rise in chronic diseases, examining factors from environmental toxins to medication usage. This could have implications for drug development and regulatory oversight. The former president has also expressed interest in continuing PBM reform efforts from his first term, a position that has gained support from pharmaceutical industry leaders.
Harris’s Drug Pricing Focus A Harris administration would likely build on Democratic healthcare initiatives, with drug pricing reform taking center stage. Her platform includes expanding Medicare’s drug price negotiation program and extending price controls to the commercial market. Harris has proposed capping insulin costs and implementing broader pharmacy cost limits for all Americans, though analysis suggests the impact in the commercial space might be limited.
The vice president has also outlined plans to expand Medicare benefits and extend ACA premium subsidies, though these initiatives would require congressional support. Her administration would likely maintain and potentially strengthen current healthcare regulations, while working with states on medical debt relief programs.
Industry Implications For the life sciences sector, the contrasting approaches present different challenges and opportunities. Trump’s focus on agency reform and chronic disease investigation could reshape the regulatory landscape, while Harris’s drug pricing initiatives could impact industry economics and market dynamics.
“There’s often a significant difference between campaign rhetoric and actual policy implementation,” notes John Conrad, President & CEO of iBIO. “What’s crucial is maintaining an environment that supports innovation while addressing healthcare accessibility and affordability.”
Key Congressional Battle: Illinois’ 17th District One of the most closely watched races in Illinois is the contest for the 17th Congressional District, where Democratic incumbent Eric Sorensen faces Republican challenger Joe McGraw, a former circuit court judge. Despite Democrats’ redistricting efforts to create a favorable landscape, the race remains highly competitive, particularly given Sorensen’s 2022 underperformance compared to Biden’s 2020 numbers in the district.
The sprawling district presents unique challenges, connecting Democratic strongholds like Rockford and the Quad Cities with conservative rural areas across 14 counties. Including Peoria and Bloomington-Normal, the district’s diverse constituency has put healthcare access and biotech development at the forefront of campaign issues. Both national parties have invested heavily in the race, recognizing its potential impact on healthcare policy, particularly regarding rural healthcare access and biotech investment in central Illinois.
State Legislative Outlook At the state level, today’s election features fewer contested races than in recent years. The state Senate has one major contested race in the 40th District, where incumbent Senator Pat Joyce faces Philip Nagle in a rematch of their previous contest.
In the House, Democrats under Speaker Welch aim to expand their current 78-seat majority by 4-6 seats. Notable races include the 45th District, where Democrat Marti Deuter faces Dennis Reboletti in a historically Republican district, and the 51st District, where incumbent Nabeela Syed defends her progressive positions. The 114th District race between Kevin Schmidt and former Rep. LaToya Greenwood is considered highly competitive and a priority for Democratic leadership.
As the industry awaits tonight’s results, stakeholders emphasize the importance of bipartisan collaboration in advancing healthcare innovation while addressing cost concerns. The outcome will likely shape the regulatory and policy environment for years to come, making this election particularly significant for the life sciences sector.